Worldcoin (WLD) has emerged as one of the most debated cryptocurrencies in 2025, not just for its ambitious mission to establish a universal proof-of-personhood system, but also for its turbulent price performance. After reaching an intrayear high near $1.80 in early May, WLD has since declined sharply, now trading around $0.88. This sustained downward movement has sparked growing concern among traders and investors alike: Is a deeper crash on the horizon?
In this analysis, we’ll explore the fundamental headwinds challenging Worldcoin’s long-term viability, examine critical technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and identify key support and resistance levels that could determine WLD’s next major move.
Why Worldcoin Could Face Further Downward Pressure
At the heart of Worldcoin’s value proposition is its vision of a globally accessible digital identity system powered by biometric verification—specifically, iris scanning. While innovative, this approach has drawn sharp criticism from influential figures in the crypto community, most notably Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin.
Buterin has raised serious concerns about how Worldcoin’s “one-person-one-ID” model could undermine online pseudonymity—a cornerstone of both internet freedom and decentralized technology. In a detailed public critique, he argues that even with privacy-preserving tools like zero-knowledge proofs, linking real-world identity to a single persistent digital profile creates dangerous centralization risks.
This isn’t just theoretical. If users perceive Worldcoin’s ID system as a potential surveillance vector—especially if governments or corporations mandate its use—adoption may stall. Worse, existing holders might begin selling WLD tokens amid fears of reputational damage or regulatory crackdowns.
Moreover, Buterin proposes an alternative: a pluralistic identity framework where individuals can use multiple identity tools across different contexts—wallets, social graphs, or verified credentials—without being tied to a single biometric anchor. If this more flexible model gains traction among developers and users, Worldcoin’s unique utility could erode, weakening demand for the WLD token.
Another risk lies in timing. As global awareness around data privacy intensifies, any incident—even a minor breach or misuse allegation—could trigger a loss of trust. Given that crypto markets are highly sentiment-driven, such events often lead to rapid sell-offs.
Technical Outlook: What the Daily Chart Reveals
The daily Heikin Ashi chart for WLD/USD paints a clear picture of bearish momentum since the May peak. From nearly $1.80, price has retraced over 50%, now consolidating in a tight range near $0.88. The formation of lower highs and weak bullish candles suggests sellers remain in control.
Is the RSI Flashing Red?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) currently sits at approximately 40.22, with the moving average near 36.92. An RSI below 50 typically reflects bearish dominance. More telling is the fact that RSI has failed to break above 50 since the April rally ended—a sign that buying pressure lacks conviction.
Historically, when RSI dropped from around 45 to 30 in late March, WLD price plunged roughly 35% within ten days. Applying a similar drop from today’s $0.88 level projects a potential downside target near **$0.57**.
- Calculation:
$0.88 × (1 - 0.35) = **$0.572**
If RSI enters oversold territory (below 30), short-term rebound potential increases—but without fundamental improvements, any recovery may be fleeting.
Key Support Levels to Monitor
Traders should closely watch three critical support zones:
- $0.80: A psychological and short-term technical floor. A close below this level on high volume could accelerate selling.
- $0.65: Intermediate support, previously tested during earlier corrections.
- $0.55: Stronger long-term support, aligning with the 2024–2025 accumulation zone.
Currently, Heikin Ashi candles show small bodies and diminishing wicks—indicative of market indecision. Such patterns often precede significant breakouts or breakdowns. A daily close below $0.85 would strengthen the bearish case.
Could a Reversal Still Happen?
A sustained bullish reversal remains unlikely unless multiple conditions align:
- Price closes and holds above $1.00, the key psychological resistance.
- Trading volume surges alongside the move.
- RSI breaks above 50 and climbs toward 60–70.
Until then, the path of least resistance appears downward.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: What is causing Worldcoin’s price to fall?
A: A combination of technical weakness, negative sentiment from prominent critics like Vitalik Buterin, and growing concerns over privacy and centralization risks are contributing to selling pressure.
Q: What happens if WLD breaks below $0.80?
A: A confirmed breakdown below $0.80 could trigger stop-loss cascades and momentum selling, potentially pushing price toward $0.65 or even $0.55 in the following weeks.
Q: Can Worldcoin recover if RSI turns positive?
A: Yes—but only if accompanied by strong volume and price action above key resistance levels like $0.90 and $1.00. RSI alone is not enough without confirmation from price structure.
Q: Is Worldcoin fundamentally flawed?
A: While innovative, its reliance on biometric data raises valid concerns about coercion, surveillance, and single points of failure. These issues may limit mainstream adoption unless addressed transparently.
Q: Where can I trade WLD safely?
A: Several major exchanges list WLD with strong liquidity and security protocols.
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Q: How much could WLD drop if bearish momentum continues?
A: Based on historical RSI behavior and technical structure, a drop to $0.55–$0.57 is plausible if support at $0.80 fails and no bullish catalyst emerges.
Final Outlook: Bearish Bias With Downside Risk
The current technical and fundamental landscape for Worldcoin leans heavily bearish. The dominant trend remains down, with weakening momentum and no clear catalyst for reversal on the horizon.
- Trend: Bearish
- Key Support Levels: $0.80 → $0.65 → $0.55
- Resistance Levels: $0.90 → $1.00
- RSI Trend: Sub-50, showing lack of buying conviction
Unless Worldcoin can address mounting concerns around privacy, decentralization, and user autonomy—or unless a major partnership or adoption milestone shifts market sentiment—WLD appears vulnerable to further declines.
A close below $0.80 would confirm increased bearish control and likely open the door to tests of the $0.65–$0.55 range in the coming weeks.
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