The Bitcoin (BTC) market continues to capture global attention, especially among European investors tracking the BTC/EUR pair. With increasing institutional adoption, evolving regulatory landscapes, and macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin remains a pivotal asset in the digital economy. This comprehensive forecast explores short- and long-term price projections for Bitcoin in euros, analyzes key technical indicators, and identifies critical factors shaping its future trajectory through 2040.
As of now, the current Bitcoin price stands at €90,963.60, reflecting strong market resilience amid fluctuating global conditions. According to analytical models, BTC could reach €89,153.27 by the end of 2025 and surge to €127,648.60 by 2030, with continued upward momentum expected into 2040.
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Technical Analysis & Trading Signals
Technical analysis plays a crucial role in understanding Bitcoin’s price behavior. Based on daily (D1) and weekly (W1) timeframes, the current recommendation for BTC/EUR is a "Buy" signal, indicating bullish sentiment across medium- to long-term horizons.
Indicators such as moving averages and oscillators suggest growing investor confidence:
- Daily (D1) timeframe: Strong buy consensus
- Weekly (W1) timeframe: Confirmed buy signal
Shorter-term signals vary depending on volatility. For intraday traders, 5-minute to 1-hour charts may show neutral or sell tendencies due to profit-taking phases. However, these do not override the dominant long-term uptrend.
Traders Union’s proprietary forecasting model combines multiple technical indicators and historical patterns to generate dynamic signals. These include:
- Moving Averages (MA)
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
- Bollinger Bands
For optimal results:
- Use 15-minute to 2-hour intervals for short-term trades
- Rely on 4-hour to weekly intervals for strategic, long-term positioning
Note: Signals can differ across timeframes. Investors planning to hold Bitcoin for more than a week should prioritize daily and weekly indicators to align with broader market trends.
Monthly Bitcoin Price Forecast: 2025–2026
Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience steady appreciation throughout 2025 and 2026, driven by cyclical demand, halving effects, and growing financial integration.
| Month | Minimum Price (€) | Maximum Price (€) | Average Price (€) |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 2025 | 78,340.77 | 95,749.83 | 87,045.30 |
| September 2025 | 78,810.81 | 96,324.33 | 87,567.57 |
| October 2025 | 79,283.68 | 96,902.28 | 88,092.98 |
| November 2025 | 79,759.39 | 97,483.69 | 88,621.54 |
| December 2025 | 80,237.94 | 98,068.60 | 89,153.27 |
| January 2026 | 80,719.37 | 98,657.01 | 89,688.19 |
| February 2026 | 81,203.69 | 99,248.95 | 90,226.32 |
| March 2026 | 81,690.91 | 99,844.45 | 90,767.68 |
| April 2026 | 82,181.06 | 100,443.52 | 91,312.29 |
| May 2026 | 82,674.14 | 101,046.18 | 91,860.16 |
| June 2026 | 83,170.19 | 101,652.45 | 92,411.32 |
| July 2026 | 83,669.21 | 102,262.37 | 92,965.79 |
This gradual climb suggests consistent accumulation phases with periodic corrections—typical of post-halving cycles.
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Long-Term BTC/EUR Forecast: 2026–2040
Looking further ahead, Bitcoin's value is projected to rise significantly due to limited supply, increasing demand from institutional players, and potential eurozone monetary policy shifts.
| Year | Mid-Year Price (€) | Year-End Price (€) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 92,411.32 | 95,788.43 |
| 2027 | 99,288.96 | 102,917.40 |
| 2028 | 106,678.45 | 110,576.93 |
| 2029 | 114,617.90 | 118,806.53 |
| 2030 | 123,148.24 | 127,648.60 |
| 2031 | 132,313.44 | 137,148.75 |
| 2032 | 142,160.76 | 147,355.92 |
| 2033 | 152,740.96 | 158,322.78 |
| 2034 | 164,108.59 | 170,105.83 |
| 2035 | 176,322.23 | 182,765.80 |
| 2036 | 189,444.84 | 196,367.98 |
| 2037 | 203,544.12 | 210,982.49 |
| 2038 | 218,692.70 | 226,684.69 |
| 2039 | 234,968.74 | 243,555.51 |
| 2040 | 252,456.08 | 261,681.93 |
By 2040, Bitcoin could surpass €260,000, assuming sustained adoption and favorable regulatory developments across Europe.
Core Influencing Factors
Several macro-level drivers will shape Bitcoin’s long-term performance:
- Regulatory Policies: Clarity in EU crypto regulations (e.g., MiCA framework) will boost investor confidence.
- Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from asset managers and pension funds increases demand.
- Monetary Conditions: Inflation trends and ECB interest rate decisions may push investors toward hard assets like Bitcoin.
- Technological Advancements: Improvements in scalability and security enhance utility and trust.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Is Bitcoin a safe investment in euros?
A: While Bitcoin offers high return potential, it is inherently volatile and speculative. It should be approached with risk management strategies such as portfolio diversification and position sizing.
Q: What causes Bitcoin’s price to change so rapidly?
A: Price swings are driven by market sentiment, regulatory news, macroeconomic data, whale movements, and liquidity conditions—especially pronounced in short timeframes.
Q: Can Bitcoin reach €300,000 by 2040?
A: Our base case projects €261,681 by 2040. However, accelerated adoption or monetary crises could push prices beyond this level.
Q: How does the Bitcoin halving affect price?
A: Approximately every four years, block rewards are cut in half—reducing new supply and historically triggering bull markets within 12–18 months post-event.
Q: Should I use technical analysis for long-term BTC investing?
A: Technical tools help identify entry and exit points even for long-term holders. Combining them with fundamental analysis yields stronger decision-making.
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Final Thoughts
Bitcoin remains one of the most transformative financial innovations of the century. The BTC/EUR pair offers European investors direct exposure to this digital asset class amid rising economic uncertainty and currency fluctuation risks.
While forecasts provide guidance—not guarantees—the data suggests a strong upward trend through at least the next two decades. With disciplined strategy and timely execution, investors can position themselves to benefit from Bitcoin’s ongoing evolution.
Whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term hodler, staying informed and agile is key to navigating the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
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